Energy Fact – The government is very bad at forecasting solar capacity

The EIA is an incredible resource for information on energy production and consumption. However, when it comes to predicting growth in solar, the EIA has continuously fallen short. Year after year, the EIA’s projections significantly underestimate growth in solar net summer capacity. In the graph below, you see the EIA’s solar forecasts from 2014 to 2020, as well as the actual recorded net summer capacity for reference.


Download the full spreadsheet here by clicking on the bottom right of the embedded Excel spreadsheet.
Fact Code: g126 GovtSolarForecast