When will we run out of fossil fuels?

The Stone Age didn’t end because we ran out of stones. Similarly, the world will probably never run out of oil, coal, and natural gas. But each time we extract a million tons of these finite resources, the next million becomes harder and more expensive to get. It’s like a barrel full of golf balls. At first, it’s easy to pull them out by the handful. But, the farther down in the barrel you have to reach, the more effort it takes to get each ball. At some point, it becomes too difficult and expensive to extract more. The only question is when does it become too hard?

What do experts think? To be super-conservative, we’ll use the forecasts from the industry trade groups that represent each kind of fuel (their answers may surprise you). British Petroleum Statistical Review of World Energy 2020 estimates 50 years of remaining oil reserves. The World Coal Association puts economically recoverable reserves at 150 years. And, the International Gas Union Global Gas Report 2020 says predicts 50 years of viable natural gas reserves. For a deeper dive, including the 90-year forecast for nuclear fuel, you can read, If we used this much fossil fuel in Edison’s time, we’d have already run out.

Fossil Fuel Reserves will not last more than 150 years



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One Response

  1. Most don’t understand the simple concept of converting permanent magnetic force into a self contained unlimited energy source that could replace fossil fuels as the power source for the future.
    Or most don’t want to understand this form of usable energy.
    In any case batteries need charging and the daily solar energy will never replace fossil fuels.
    But no one wants to hear or tell that story.
    If the world was told how simple it is to develop magnetic force into usable power to replace fossil fuels
    The fear of running out of fossil fuels may not be an issue.
    interesting on how people think. Don’t you think so?

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